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The Numbers Don’t Add Up

Following up with yesterday’s post about recruiting rankings is a short post today from the Wall Street Journal.

If bowl season teaches fans anything, it’s that getting top recruits doesn’t guarantee success. In this year’s 34 bowls, half of the participating teams didn’t have a single starter in their final regular-season game that was considered a top-100 prospect in high school, according to recruiting Web site Rivals.com. The Count analyzed 1,496 bowl-game starters and found that just 8.4% of them were top-100 recruits.

USC starts 13 top prospects—most among all bowl teams. By contrast, its opponent Saturday, Boston College, didn’t start a single top-100 prospect in its final regular-season game. In the title game, Texas starts nine top prospects and Alabama only has three, yet Alabama is a 4-point favorite. Both teams are led by players (Colt McCoy and Heisman winner Mark Ingram) who weren’t top-100 prospects in high school. This trend continues in the Rose Bowl, where underdog Ohio State has eight top prospects compared to Oregon’s zero. Then there’s the Fiesta Bowl, featuring undefeated TCU and Boise State. Neither team starts a top recruit.

The numbers reinforce what we’ve been saying all along, rankings are meaningless compared to a coaches evaluation.  Recruits need to focus on getting coaches to watch their film and make a realistic evaluation.  The only way you can get a scholarship is by proving to a college coach that you are the right fit for their program.  No one else’s opinion matters.

So how can you impress a coach?  You can either hope they find you and cross your fingers or get pro-active and start contacting college coaches.  NCSA can be your engine to get pro-active now!

About the author
Aaron Sorenson